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The Blog : January 2009

Friday, January 30, 2009 - 2:25pm

Earlier today I posted my version of the 25 Random Things meme to my Facebook profile. Seems everyone's doing it, so I had to be cool, too.

One of my "random things" reads as follows:

21. There are few things better than a great horror movie. However, there are probably less than 10 great horror movies in existence, and there are few things worse than a not-so-great horror movie.

A colleague posted a comment asking what my favorites were, so I quickly compiled a list. It wasn't hard. As I noted in the list, I don't actually think there are a lot of great, or even good, horror movies out there. But, boy, do I love these.

Here's what I came up with:

1. The Exorcist (William Friedkin, 1973)
Shot and edited more like a drama than a horror film, this movie somehow gets scarier on repeated viewings.

2. Dawn of the Dead (George A. Romero, 1978)
The second installment in Romero's zombie series follows a few survivors as they seek shelter in a shopping mall. Perhaps the only horror movie that successfully combines laughs with all out terror (sorry, Scream).

3. The Thing (John Carpenter, 1982)
Carpenter at the absolute top of his game. The monster could be present in any scene taking the form of any character, and that fact alone added a layer of tension seldom seen in movies.

4. 28 Days Later (Danny Boyle, 2002)
I usually like my zombies slow, but I'll make an exception for Boyle's British zombie flick. Simply terrifying.

5. Silence of the Lambs (Jonathan Demme, 1991)
How often can you say that the imprisoned killer in a movie is more terrifying than the one at large? Just once.

6. Session 9 (Brad Anderson, 2001)
Thanks to this little-seen gem, the phrase "asbestos abatement" still sends shivers down my spine.

7. The Descent (Neil Marshall, 2005)
This tale of a group of women on a caving expedition gone horribly awry might be the only movie that ever kept me awake afterwards. For three nights.

8. Alien (Ridley Scott, 1979)
If Star Wars had been a horror movie, it might have been half as scary as Scott's claustrophobic sci-fi nightmare.

9. Night of the Living Dead (George A. Romero, 1968)
Romero's first zombie flick set the bar pretty high, and the fact that there is no explanation whatsoever for what's going on makes this even more frightening.

10. Ringu (Hideo Nakata, 1998)
Far superior to the tame American remake, the Japanese original has one of the most convincing false endings in cinematic history. Even once we realize the movie isn't over yet, we still aren't prepared for the terror awaiting us.

Horror, Movies
(8)
Thursday, January 22, 2009 - 10:57am

Looks like I picked the worst possible photo to accompany my Jan. 9th post ("Best Picture Oscar nods might be locked up"). With this morning's announcement of nominees, it turns out The Dark Knight wasn't Best Picture material after all. But, surprisingly to many, The Reader was. And The Curious Case of Benjamin Button was the biggest winner of all.

Here are the nominees in the 6 major categories (along with a tally of which ones I predicted correctly):

Best Picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Director
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
Stephen Daldry - The Reader
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant - Milk

Best Actor
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
MIckey Rourke - The Wrestler

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - The Reader

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams - Doubt
Penélope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler

For a complete list of nominees in all categories, go to Oscar.com.

Besides The Reader stealing nods from The Dark Knight for both Best Picture and Director, perhaps the biggest snub occured in the Best Song category, where Bruce Springsteen failed to earn a nomination for his song "The Wrestler" from the film of the same name. Considered the favorite to win a gold statue after a Golden Globes victory, The Boss lost out to two songs from Slumdog Millionaire and one from WALL•E, as only 3 nominations were handed out in a category that usually has 5.

Another surprise is that Benjamin Button, not Slumdog Millionaire, earned the most nominations with 13. Slumdog received a still-impressive total of 10, and is likely still the favorite to take home the Best Picture crown, though one has to wonder if it's losing momentum after it's young star, Dev Patel, failed to get a nomination in the Supporting Actor category.

Fans of British filmmaker Mike Leigh were probably smarting this morning after his Happy-Go-Lucky star Sally Hawkins was left out of the Best Actress race despite earning several critics awards and a Golden Globe.

Another surprise Best Actress nominee was Kate Winslet. The fact that she was nominated wasn't the surprise. It's which movie she was nominated for that turned heads. Most pundits predicted she'd get a nod here for Revolutionary Road and a Supporting Actress one for The Reader. Instead, it was her Reader performance that landed her in the Best Actress category, while her turn in Revolutionary Road went unrecognized.

* * *

So with nominations officially handed out, who are now the favorites to win? Vegas oddsmaker John Avello at The Wynn Hotel & Casino already has his picks...

Picture: Slumdog Millionaire
Director: Danny Boyle
Actor: Mickey Rourke
Actress: Kate Winslet
Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger
Supporting Actress: Viola Davis

* * *

Based on the tally above, I correctly predicted 23 of the 30 nominations in the top 6 categories. And since I did have Kate Winslet in the Best Actress race and predicted a nomination for her performance in The Reader, albeit in the wrong category, I'm going to go ahead and take half credit for that one. So how did I fare compared to previous years? See for yourself...

2005: 19 of 25
2006: 21 of 25
2007: no predictions
2008: 20 of 25
2009: 23.5 of 30 (19.5 of 25 in top 5 categories)*

* 2009 was the first year I made predictions in the Best Director category.

Awards, Movies, Oscars
(0)
Tuesday, January 20, 2009 - 5:14pm

This Thursday morning, Oscar nominations will be announced in Los Angeles. As I noted recently, all 5 nominations for Best Picture are already locked up, but that doesn't mean there won't be surprises in other categories.

Here are my predictions for how things will shake out on Thursday in 6 major categories...

Best Picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire

The PGA, DGA, and WGA are all in agreement on these 5 movies, so it seems no one else will crash this party. That means WALL•E will have to settle for a nomination in the animated film category. Otherwise, there are no other contenders. There were high hopes early for Revolutionary Road and The Reader, but once those films were released, the acclaim for each was limited to Kate Winslet's performances.

Best Director
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant - Milk

Most years you can count on 1 or 2 films not nominated for Best Picture to sneak in here, but this year doesn't seem to be one of them. Nolan looks to be on the shakiest ground since his movie was the kind of blockbuster that rarely sees award season love. That leaves the door open a crack for Stephen Daldry (The Reader) or Mike Leigh (Happy-Go-Lucky), but each of those films will be lucky to eke out a single acting nomination.

Best Actor
Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
MIckey Rourke - The Wrestler

This is really a two horse race between Penn and Rourke, with the latter taking a post-Golden Globes lead. The other 3 slots are pretty wide open. Sentimentality for what may be Eastwood's final on-screen role should garner him a nod, while Langella's channeling of Richard Nixon looks like another safe-ish bet. When The Visitor opened in theaters last summer, Jenkins received a lot of well-deserved Oscar talk, but his small picture could be forgotten by voters by now. If so, Brad Pitt may get a token nomination for Best Picture contender Benjamin Button.

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road

Hathaway was a strong favorite here for most of last year, so her place is assured. Perennials Streep and Winslet seem like no-brainers, too, while Jolie seems to (inexplicably) be on everyone's short list for her scenery chewing performance. Hawkins, winner of a Golden Globe and several critics' awards is the logical 5th nominee, but oddly enough she seems the least certain. If she falters, either Michelle Williams (Wendy and Lucy) or SAG nominee Melissa Leo (Frozen River) could be a surprise contender.

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Dev Patel - Slumdog Millionaire

Don't look for a lot of surprises here, as Brolin, Downey, Hoffman, and Ledger have all been virtual locks for quite some time. Patel should benefit from Slumdog's transformation into an Oscar heavyweight, but if not, Tom Cruise seems most likely to step in for his jaw droppingly hilarious performance in Tropic Thunder.

Best Supporting Actress
Penélope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Kate Winslet - The Reader

Cruz took several critics' awards early to help her cause, while Davis more than held her own among all the acting heavyweights in Doubt. In addition, Winslet's stock grew considerably after her double win at the Golden Globes, including a victory in this category. That leaves 3 actresses battling it out for the remaining 2 nods: Henson, Tomei and Doubt's Amy Adams. Henson and Adams both have SAG nominations on their side, and while Henson's small role in Benjamin Button is exactly what Oscar loves, Adams will probably see her nomination go to Tomei as part of a very late surge from The Wrestler.

Awards, Movies, Oscars
(0)
Friday, January 9, 2009 - 3:58pm

With Best Picture nominees already announced by the Producers, Directors, and Writing Guilds, Cinematical points out that 5 films were nominated by all 3 unions.

This strongly indicates that these 5 movies will be the nominees for Best Picture at the Academy Awards:

It turns out it is pretty common for a movie to be nominated for all three of these. (It helps that the WGA nominates 10 films, increasing the chances of overlap with the other awards.) The PGA awards are the newest, having begun in 1990, and since that time 43 films (not counting this year's) have hit the trifecta. And of those 43 -- and this is the important part -- only three have then failed to be nominated for a Best Picture Oscar.

Hey, as long as Changeling isn't nominated, I'll be happy.

Awards, Movies, Oscars
(0)
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